According to this article, 2001 has been a wash, but now Hollywood is pulling out all the stops in a mad Oscar dash.
To tell the truth, thi entire article seems a bit under-informed. Personally, I thought that The Deep End was beautifully shot, but not worthy of a best picture nomination. Also, he seems to have completely skipped over IRIS starring Judi Dench and Jim Broadbent, MONSTER'S BALL starring Billy Bob Thorton and Halle Berry, and even skipped the Oscar-bait BLACK HAWK DOWN. To tell the truth, I don't really think that many of this guy's predictions will be Oscar nominated.
Too bad the article didn't mention Mulholland Drive (other than in the supporting actress category), which is certainly worthy of nominations. Naomi Watt, in particular, could well be worth a win. Perhaps the 'difficulty' of the film disqualifies its Oscar potential in the author's eyes. Of course, the sad truth could be that the author hated the film. Ah, well...
Besides, can you really fault a gloriously deliberate piece of camp such as Moulin Rouge for being embarassing? Perhaps, but I certainly don't.