Oscar Nominations 2010

  • Best Picture:
  • Social Network
  • King's Speech
  • Black Swan
  • Toy Story 3
  • Fighter
  • Inception
  • Kids Are All Right
  • True Grit
  • 127 Hours
  • Winter's Bone

  • I'm not entirely sold on the last three getting nominated, but I can't think of anything else that would replace them, so here we are for now. Maybe they should have seven nominees instead of five or ten. Seems like 127 Hours and Winter's Bone are fighting with The Town over the last two slots, but maybe a dark horse will sneak in and surprise me. What would it be though? Rabbit Hole? Shutter Island? Blue Valentine? Another Year? Never Let Me Go? Hereafter? Conviction? Ghost Writer? All of those seem equally unlikely.

  • Best Actor
  • Colin Firth
  • James Franco
  • Jesse Eisenberg
  • Jeff Bridges
  • Ryan Gosling

  • Some are still talking about Robert Duvall, but he's out. Javier Bardem has been picking up steam lately and I wouldn't be at all surprised if he knocked off Gosling.

  • Best Actress
  • Natalie Portman
  • Annette Bening
  • Jennifer Lawrence
  • Nicole Kidman
  • Michelle Williams

  • I'm pulling for Julianne Moore to sneak in here.

  • Best Supporting Actor
  • Geoffrey Rush
  • Christian Bale
  • Jeremy Renner
  • Andrew Garfield
  • Mark Ruffalo

  • I liked Renner, but I wasn't big on The Town, so I'm rooting for John Hawkes to replace him.

  • Best Supporting Actress
  • Melissa Leo
  • Helena Bonham Carter
  • Amy Adams
  • Hailee Steinfeld
  • Lesley Manville

  • I had a sudden premonition while watching Another Year. There's no way the Academy can ignore a performance as simultaneously hilarious and heartbreaking as Manville's, right? I thought Mila Kunis was great in Black Swan and she's been nominated for plenty of precursor awards, but can you really see the Academy nominating the 27-year-old star of That 70s Show for giving the third- or fourth-best performance in a film that was probably too freaky for them anyway? I think Mila's out and Lesley's in, even if none of the precursors seem to realize it.

  • Best Director
  • David Fincher
  • Tom Hooper
  • Christopher Nolan
  • Darren Aronofsky
  • David O. Russell

  • Okay, okay, I've heard the buzz: 127 Hours is far away enough from the Best Picture frontrunners for Danny Boyle to be nominated here. I also don't think the Coens will get recognized here for their well-made but fairly mainstream Western. That leaves Russell, who despite being known as a douchebag, is very talented and overdue for his first Director nomination.

  • Best Adapted Screenplay
  • Social Network
  • 127 Hours
  • Toy Story 3
  • True Grit
  • Winter's Bone

  • Please not The Town.

  • Best Original Screenplay
  • The King's Speech
  • Inception
  • Black Swan
  • Kids Are All Right
  • The Fighter

  • There is a good chance they'll throw Mike Leigh a bone here though by nominating Another Year.

Author Comments: 

That's enough for now.

Cloned From: 

So I nailed Best Picture, Best Actress, and Best Adapted Screenplay, and I got one wrong each in the other five categories. Forty out of forty-five. Not too shabby if I do say so myself. A part of me just knew that, aside from Renner's performance, they wouldn't nominate The Town, and I also sensed that Mila Kunis wouldn't get in despite strong precursor support. As you can see from my comments, I wanted to predict Bardem instead of Gosling but I didn't for some reason, and I also wanted to predict John Hawkes but wasn't sure which supporting actor he should replace as well as Another Year but wasn't sure which screenplay it should replace. I'm glad it replaced Black Swan, easily the worst of the original screenplays IMHO.

In my eyes, the biggest surprise of these eight categories is a bad one: Christopher Nolan snubbed for Best Director. Inception wasn't his best film, not by a long shot, but Nolan is one of the best directors working today and it's a real shame. I never saw it coming.

Anyway, The Social Network didn't receive as many nominations as some other candidates, but I'm still pulling for it to take the gold. Let's hope it's this year's The Departed.

Nice work!

Shalom, y'all!

L. Bangs